The “S” word strikes again!

Posted on August 7, 2006

By Chris Campbell

 

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Recent headlines in the NASCAR world say that any driver not named Matt Kenseth or Jimmie Johnson is struggling. Each week, many of the top 10 drivers change spots, but the driver that drops the most spots or has the most disappointing race is the latest victim and in dire straits. If the driver is Dale Earnhardt Jr., Jeff Gordon, or Tony Stewart, the headlines are bolder, more desperate, and apt to appear in every media outlet in the country. The reports of gloom and doom will only get more tenacious as each checkered flag waves, and the races remaining until the Chase starts in New Hampshire diminish in number. Are the headlines just attention getters or, in fact, is each team’s situation as hopeless as they predict?

 

Do the media personnel perceive the drivers and crews as having problems making the chase, or just in their finish for the particular race that week? Do they mean the teams are struggling in relation to point leader Jimmie Johnson, or in achieving the goals set for their own team? Depending on the answer to those questions, then the more appropriate word to use would be either struggle or expectations.

 

The dictionary definition of the word struggle is:

  1. To exert muscular energy, as against a material force or mass: struggled with the heavy load.
  2. To be strenuously engaged with a problem, task, or undertaking: struggled with his math homework.
  3. To make a strenuous effort; strive: struggled to be polite.
  4. To contend or compete: “Right and wrong... will ever continue to struggle” (Abraham Lincoln).
  5. To progress with difficulty: struggled through the novel.

The definition of expect is:

  1.  
    1. To look forward to the probable occurrence or appearance of: expecting a telephone call; expects rain on Sunday.
    2. To consider likely or certain: expect to see them soon. See Usage Note at anticipate.
  2. To consider reasonable or due: We expect an apology.
  3. To consider obligatory; require: The school expects its pupils to be on time.
  4. Informal. To presume; suppose

Mathematically before the start of the Brickyard 400, 34 drivers can still make the Chase. It isn’t realistic to expect anyone outside of 20th in points to make the Chase, but it could happen. Elliott Sadler currently sits in 20th position, and 435 points behind Tony Stewart in 10th position. Sadler would have to finish ahead of Stewart and make up 74 points per race to make it into the Chase. If Sadler were to finish each race 2nd, then Stewart would still have to finish 21st or worse. (Sadler would have to similarly finish better than the teams currently sitting 11th through 19th.) This is mathematically possible, however unlikely, with the difficulties almost every team has experienced since the All-Star race. Dale Earnhardt Jr. is a classic example of how quickly a team can rise or fall. After Chicago, Dale Jr. was 3rd in points. After he experienced consecutive DNFs -- a blown motor at NHIS and a wreck at Pocono -- he is now in 11th position, 15 points out of the Chase.

 

After the Brickyard 400, any driver between 5th and 12th could be “in the Chase” or “out of the Chase”, since only 133 points separate Kevin Harvick in 5th and Greg Biffle in 12th. Therefore, the headlines could announce misfortune for any one of eight drivers. In addition, as the picture is a little clearer each week, the media will be even louder for those drivers barely inside or just outside of the Chase.

 

Looking at the definitions, if the media is trying to say the teams are struggling to attain a good finish each race, then yes, that would be the correct word, especially if the team had problems that resulted in a finish of 30th or worse. The term would also be justifiable in a comparison between most teams and points leader Jimmie Johnson, because Johnson is first and the other contenders struggle to keep close enough to compete for the title in the last ten races.

 

However, to say the teams are struggling in the overall point standings or in achieving their goals, I disagree. Let’s look at a group of 43 athletes. The middle number is 21.5, so anyone below that number in a rank order could be defined as below average, while those above that number would be considered above average. However, that is still too ambiguous with such a large number. To narrow it down, let’s put them into three groups: above, below, and just average. Logically, the bottom third, those ranked below the 28.66 position, could be called struggling, while the ones in the middle 14 positions would be the average performers, and those ranked in the top 14.33 positions would be the best of the 43 total men.

 

The drivers with a realistic chance at the Chase are, for the most part, in the top 14 positions, which is above average in a group of 43 drivers. That certainly is not something to be ashamed of, as the media is leading the fans to believe in the headlines. I believe many teams might be meeting and even exceeding expectations, while there are some teams that aren’t meeting their goals. Every team would love to win each race and to be the top in points, but realistically there can only be one.

 

Almost everything we encounter in life is a struggle, unless you attempt something that is a natural gift, or you were educated in how to handle the task and it has become second nature. As children, we are taught that struggling to achieve something of importance builds character, self-confidence, and pride. Struggles also can lead to frustrations and disappointments if we don’t achieve a goal within our own acceptable timeframe. We learn that in school it’s a struggle to pass some courses and exams, while other classes are easy “A’s”. We come to realize with maturity that in the easy classes, sometimes we never learned a thing, while we retained the knowledge from the ones we struggled at and the next level of classes we took was based on that hard-earned information.

 

Fans expect their drivers to excel and are disappointed each time they don’t achieve what they had expected, even when the team met or exceeded its own goals for that race. No driver should feel that he has let his fans down if he has tried his best with the equipment he was provided by his team. No team should be ashamed if they did their best with the knowledge they have, and the rules set by NASCAR. Fans need to be realistic in their expectations, not believe the shame the media is trying to place on the drivers, and show continued support to their driver throughout adversity. And the media has to learn the power of their word or words.

 

 

Definition source is www.dictionary.com Source: The American Heritage® Dictionary of the English Language, Fourth Edition
Copyright © 2000 by Houghton Mifflin Company.
Published by Houghton Mifflin Company. All rights reserved.

 

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