Crunching The Numbers: Dover

After two weeks at home in Charlotte, the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series, NASCAR Nationwide Series, and NASCAR Camping World Truck Series teams pack up and head north to Dover, Delaware for a date with “The Monster Mile” at Dover International Speedway. For the first time since the season openers at Daytona in February, all three series will be at the same track for a rare tripleheader weekend.

Sprint Cup Series – Fed Ex 400 Benefiting Autism Speaks

The first of two visits for the Sprint Cup Series at Dover will feature the best drivers in the world talking on one of the toughest tracks on the circuit. The one mile concrete oval, which is one of the only two high banked concrete tracks on the schedule in addition to Bristol, is one of the reasons many have labeled this treacherous track as “Bristol on steroids”. This race, the 13th of the season, also marks the halfway point in the 26 race regular season, with 13 races remaining until the start of the Chase for the Sprint Cup this fall.


American Muscle
Driver Races Win Top 5 Top 10 Pole Laps Led Avg. Start Avg. Finish
Carl Edwards 17 1 8 12 0 532 15.0 8.3
Jimmie Johnson 22 7 11 16 3 2318 9.7 8.6
Jeff Gordon 40 4 15 22 4 2292 11.6 12.0
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 1 0 0 0 0 0 17.0 12.0
Ryan Newman 22 3 6 11 4 842 9.5 12.1
Mark Martin 53 4 24 32 5 1769 12.3 12.3
Greg Biffle 21 2 6 10 1 463 11.7 12.4
Aric Almirola 2 0 0 1 0 0 16.5 12.5
Matt Kenseth 28 2 13 18 1 746 16.1 12.6
Clint Bowyer 14 0 1 7 0 34 17.6 13.2

Who To Watch: The best driver statistically at Dover? That would be none other than Carl Edwards. With his one win, eight top fives, 12 top tens, 532 laps led, and an average finish of 8.3 in 17 races, it’s no surprise that Edwards has earned the nickname of “Concrete Carl” for his prowess on tracks with a concrete surface.

Right in Edwards tire tracks are the Hendrick Motorsports duo of Jimmie Johnson and Jeff Gordon. In 22 starts, Johnson has seven wins, 11 top fives, 16 top tens, three poles, 2318 laps led, and an average finish of 8.6. Gordon has 40 starts, with four wins, 15 top fives, 22 top tens, four poles, 2292 laps led, and an average finish of 12.0.

Others to keep an eye on include former Dover winners Ryan Newman, with three wins and an average finish of 12.1; Mark Martin, with four wins and an average finish of 12.3; Greg Biffle, with two wins and an average finish of 12.4; and Matt Kenseth, with two wins and an average finish of 12.6.

Nationwide Series – 5 Hour Energy 200

Another race weekend and another field full of Cup regulars in the Nationwide Series. This time the Nationwide regulars outnumber the Cup regulars in the top 10 statistically at Dover. Could a Nationwide regular take the checkers on Saturday for the third time this year? The statistics point to that being a good probability.

Driver Races Win Top 5 Top 10 Pole Laps Led Avg. Start Avg. Finish
Brian Vickers 5 1 3 4 0 105 6.6 6.2
Joey Logano 8 2 4 5 2 465 4.9 6.5
Reed Sorenson 11 0 6 10 0 7 12.1 7.2
Austin Dillon 2 0 0 2 0 0 10.0 8.0
Ty Dillon 1 0 0 1 0 0 3.0 8.0
Kyle Busch 15 3 7 10 3 853 10.2 11.6
Parker Kligerman 1 0 0 0 0 0 12.0 12.0
Kasey Kahne 13 0 3 7 1 66 10.2 12.1
Brian Scott 6 0 1 3 0 0 16.8 12.2
Elliott Sadler 10 0 1 5 1 11 12.7 13.0

Who To Watch: Brian Vickers heads up the list as the best statistically at Dover with one win, three top fives, four top tens, 105 laps led, and 6.2 average finish in five starts. The only Cup regular in the top five statistically at Dover, Joey Logano, has two wins, four top fives, five top tens, two poles, 465 laps led, and an average finish of 6.5 in eight starts. Reed Sorenson has six top fives, 10 top tens, seven laps led and an average finish of 7.2 in 11 starts. Next up are the Dillon brothers, Austin and Ty, who both have average finishes of 8.0 in a combined three starts.

The majority of the season has seen Kyle Busch and his Joe Gibbs Racing team dominating and winning race after race. If anyone wants to make it to Victory Lane, they will have to go through Busch, who has three wins, seven top fives, 10 top tens, three poles, 853 laps led, and an average finish of 11.6 in 15 races. Joe Gibbs Racing has won four of the last six Nationwide Series races at Dover and with a win this weekend, Busch would become the series wins leader at Dover, setting yet another record in the process.

Camping World Truck Series – Lucas Oil 200

The Dover tripleheader weekend kicks off with the Camping World Truck Series hitting the track for their race on Friday afternoon. This race has been known to produce more first time winners and rookie winners than repeat winners. If this continues to hold true, we could see one of the series many young guns make their first trip to Victory Lane.

Driver Races Win Top 5 Top 10 Pole Laps Led Avg. Start Avg. Finish
Ty Dillon 1 0 0 1 0 0 6.0 6.0
Joey Coulter 2 0 0 1 0 0 3.5 8.5
David Starr 11 0 3 7 1 17 15.1 9.1
James Buescher 4 0 1 3 0 0 14.0 10.2
Kyle Busch 7 2 2 4 1 711 4.1 10.9
Ron Hornaday, Jr. 8 1 3 5 1 275 5.8 11.1
Justin Lofton 3 0 1 2 0 22 15.7 12.7
Johnny Sauter 4 0 1 1 0 0 4.5 13.8
Matt Crafton 12 0 2 7 0 16 17.5 13.8
Timothy Peters 6 0 0 2 0 1 14.0 14.7

Who To Watch: Both Kyle Busch, who will be attempting the tripleheader by running in all three series, and Ron Hornaday, Jr. are the only winners of this race in the field for Friday’s race. Others to keep an eye on that have had good runs at the track, but no wins include: Ty Dillon, who finished sixth in his lone start at the track last year; Joey Coulter, who has an average finish of 8.5 in two starts; David Starr, with an average finish of 9.1 in 11 starts; and series champion James Buescher, who has an average finish of 10.2 in four starts.


Get 2 FREE stocks valued between $2.50-$1,400 when you open and fund a Webull brokerage account or earn 5% annual interest rate at Worthy.
The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of SpeedwayMedia.com.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here